The part nobody agrees on: what this does to household electricity bills
Whether this shift is actually raising consumer electricity prices is genuinely disputed, and the disagreement matters more than either side's press release suggests.
On one side, an Electric Power Research Institute study found that data centers put downward pressure on average electricity prices through 2024, and a March 2026 Institute for Energy Research study found no statistically significant correlation between data center concentration and current electricity prices, according to reporting on both studies by Marketplace and the Independent Institute.
On the other side, the evidence of localized price pain is becoming harder to dismiss as anecdotal. PJM, the largest grid operator in the country, projected in a report covered by Fortune that a $6.3 billion increase in consumer electricity costs over the next three years can be mostly attributed to rising data center power demand. In Virginia — the state with the heaviest data center concentration in the country — residential electricity prices rose more than 13% in the past year, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration data cited by Fortune. Zooming out further, PolitiFact reported in June 2026 that average residential electricity prices rose 94% in Washington, D.C., 74% in Maryland, and 73% in Maine between March 2021 and March 2026, per EIA figures, though data centers are only one of several drivers behind those increases. Goldman Sachs, for its part, has projected the AI buildout will raise electricity costs 6% between 2026 and 2027 and another 3% by 2028.
The honest read is that the two sets of findings aren't necessarily contradictory — data centers may have modestly lowered average prices while demand still exceeded supply, and now be pushing prices up sharply in the specific regions where new generation hasn't kept pace with new load. That's precisely the dynamic that's pushing hyperscalers toward off-grid generation in the first place: building their own supply means a company's AI buildout doesn't have to compete with residential ratepayers for the same limited pool of new power.